| Country | Netherlands |
|---|---|
| Ongoing | yes |
| Previous election | 2025 |
| Outgoing members | List of members of the House of Representatives of the Netherlands, 2025–present |
| Seats for election | All 150 seats in the House of Representatives |
| Majority seats | 76 |
| Election date | By May 2030 |
| Nopercentage | yes |
| Leader 1 | Rob Jetten |
| Party 1 | Democrats 66 |
| Current seats 1 | 26 |
| Leader 2 | Dilan Yeşilgöz |
| Party 2 | People's Party for Freedom and Democracy |
| Current seats 2 | 22 |
| Leader 3 | Jesse Klaver |
| Party 3 | GroenLinks–PvdA |
| Current seats 3 | 20 |
| Leader 4 | Geert Wilders |
| Party 4 | Party for Freedom |
| Current seats 4 | 19 |
| Leader 5 | Henri Bontenbal |
| Party 5 | Christian Democratic Appeal |
| Current seats 5 | 18 |
| Leader 6 | Joost Eerdmans |
| Party 6 | JA21 |
| Current seats 6 | 9 |
| Leader 7 | Lidewij de Vos |
| Party 7 | Forum for Democracy |
| Current seats 7 | 7 |
| Leader 8 | Henk Vermeer |
| Party 8 | Farmer–Citizen Movement |
| Current seats 8 | 3 |
| Leader 9 | Stephan van Baarle |
| Party 9 | Denk (political party) |
| Current seats 9 | 3 |
| Leader 10 | Chris Stoffer |
| Party 10 | Reformed Political Party |
| Current seats 10 | 3 |
| Leader 11 | Esther Ouwehand |
| Party 11 | Party for the Animals |
| Current seats 11 | 3 |
| Leader 12 | Mirjam Bikker |
| Party 12 | Christian Union (Netherlands) |
| Current seats 12 | 3 |
| Leader 13 | Jimmy Dijk |
| Party 13 | Socialist Party (Netherlands) |
| Current seats 13 | 3 |
| Leader 14 | Jan Struijs |
| Party 14 | 50Plus |
| Current seats 14 | 2 |
| Leader 15 | Laurens Dassen |
| Party 15 | Volt Netherlands |
| Current seats 15 | 1 |
| Before election | Jetten cabinet |
| Before party | D66–VVD–CDA |
General elections are scheduled to be held in the Netherlands in May 2030 to elect the members of the House of Representatives, but may be held at an earlier date if a snap election is called.
Background
The 2025 Dutch general election resulted in losses for all parties in the Schoof cabinet. Democrats 66 (D66) obtained 26 seats to became the largest party in the House of Representatives for the first time, along with Party for Freedom (PVV). GroenLinks (GL) and the Labour Party (PvdA) are set to merge their parties in 2026.[1]
Regular general elections in the Netherlands are held in March, at least four years after the previous general election. However, due to municipal elections already taking place in March 2030, general elections would instead be held in May 2030.[2]
Electoral system
Pursuant to articles C.1, C.2 and C.3 of the electoral law, elections for the House of Representatives take place every four years, unless a snap election is called. The 150 members of the House of Representatives are elected by semi-open list proportional representation. The number of seats per list is determined using the D'Hondt method. A list must receive a number of votes equal to or exceeding the Hare quota (1 full seat) in order to qualify for seat distribution, meaning there is an electoral threshold of 0.67%.[3]
Voters have the option to cast a preferential vote. The seats won by a list are first allocated to the candidates who, in preferential votes, have received at least 25% of the Hare quota (effectively ¼ of a seat or 0.17% of the total votes), regardless of their placement on the electoral list. If multiple candidates from a list pass this threshold, their ordering is determined based on the number of votes received. Any remaining seats are allocated to candidates according to their position on the electoral list.[4][5]
Opinion polls
Seats
There are 150 seats in total, 76 seats are needed for a majority. Parties are denoted with a dash if no indication is given of their level in the polls.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | D66 | PVV | VVD | GL/PvdA | CDA | JA21 | FvD | BBB | Denk | SGP | PvdD | CU | SP | 50+ | Volt | DNA | Lead | Ref |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verian | 1,232 | 17 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | – | 2 | [6] | |
| Peil.nl | – | 19 | 18 | 17 | 23 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | [7] | |
| Ipsos I&O | 1,560 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | – | 3 | [8] | |
| Verian | 1,241 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 24 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | – | 4 | [9] | |
| Peil.nl | – | 22 | 17 | 16 | 22 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | Tie | [10] | |
| Peil.nl | – | 20 | 19 | 17 | 23 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | – | 3 | [11] | |
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | The Markuszower Group becomes a political party, founding De Nederlandse Alliantie[12] | |||||||||||||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 1,680 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | – | 6 | [13] | |
| Verian | 1,282 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 24 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | – | 4 | [14] | |
| Peil.nl | – | 22 | 17 | 17 | 22 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | – | Tie | [15] | |
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | 2026 Dutch municipal elections | |||||||||||||||||||
| Peil.nl | – | 25 | 17 | 18 | 23 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | – | 2 | [16] | |
| Ipsos I&O | 1,802 | 24 | 19 | 21 | 25 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | – | 1 | [17] | |
| Peil.nl | – | 27 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | – | 6 | [18] | |
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | Mona Keijzer leaves the BBB and continues as an independent MP[19] | |||||||||||||||||||
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | The Jetten cabinet is sworn in[20] | |||||||||||||||||||
| Verian | 1,319 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | – | 1 | [21] | |
| Peil.nl | – | 27 | 16 | 17 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | – | 6 | [22] | |
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | Caroline van der Plas hands over leadership of BBB to Henk Vermeer[23] | |||||||||||||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 1,802 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | – | 3 | [24] | |
| Peil.nl | – | 27 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | – | 6 | [25] | |
| Ipsos I&O | 2,614 | 26 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | – | 5 | [26] | |
| Verian | 1,269 | 26 | 18 | 23 | 21 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | – | 3 | [27] | |
| Peil.nl | – | 27 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | – | 7 | [28] | |
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | Seven MPs leave the PVV to form the Markuszower Group[29] | |||||||||||||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 2,260 | 28 | 23 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | – | 5 | [30] | |
| Peil.nl | – | 28 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | – | 7 | [31] | |
| Peil.nl | – | 28 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | – | 6 | [32] | |
| Ipsos I&O | 1,958 | 28 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | – | 4 | [33] | |
| Peil.nl | – | 28 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | – | 5 | [34] | |
| Verian | 1,550 | 31 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | – | 9 | [35] | |
| Peil.nl | – | 28 | 23 | 23 | 18 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | – | 5 | [36] | |
| Peil.nl | – | 28 | 24 | 22 | 18 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | – | 4 | [37] | |
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | Jesse Klaver succeeds Frans Timmermans as leader of GL–PvdA[38] | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 election | – | 26 | 26 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | – | Tie | ||
Vote share
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | D66 | PVV | VVD | GL/PvdA | CDA | JA21 | FvD | BBB | Denk | SGP | PvdD | CU | SP | 50+ | Volt | Lead | Ref |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verian | 1,232 | 11.1% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | [39] | |
| Ipsos I&O | 1,560 | 12.9% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | [8] | |
| Verian | 1,241 | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | [40] | |
| Ipsos I&O | 1,680 | 12.6% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | [13] | |
| Verian | 1,282 | 13.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | [41] | |
| Ipsos I&O | 1,802 | 15.2% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | [17] | |
| Verian | 1,319 | 13.8% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | [42] | |
| Verian | 1,269 | 17.0% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | [43] | |
| Verian | 1,550 | 20.3% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 6.0% | [44] | |
| 2025 election | – | 16.94% | 16.66% | 14.24% | 12.79% | 11.79% | 5.95% | 4.54% | 2.65% | 2.37% | 2.25% | 2.08% | 1.90% | 1.89% | 1.43% | 1.10% | 0.28% |
References
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- ^ "Tweede Kamer: hoe wordt de datum voor reguliere verkiezingen bepaald?" [House of Representatives: How is the date for regular elections determined?] (in Dutch). Kiesraad. Retrieved 11 November 2025.
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- ^ Nederland, Parlementsverkiezingen, 15 maart 2017: Eindrapport. OSCE/ODIHR. 7 June 2017. Archived 24 October 2020 at the Wayback Machine. Retrieved 28 October 2017.
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- ^ Kanne, Peter; Koppel, Maartje van de; Schelde, Asher van de (15 May 2026). "Politieke peiling Ipsos I&O mei 2026" [Political poll Ipsos I&O May 2026] (in nl-NL). Ipsos I&O. Retrieved 15 May 2026.
- ^ Kester, Jeroen & Lubbe, Rozemarijn (29 April 2026). "D66 in 5 maanden gehalveerd in zetelpeiling, vertrouwen van coalitiekiezers in kabinet holt achteruit" [D66 halved in seat polls in 5 months, coalition voters' confidence in the cabinet plummets] (in nl-NL). EenVandaag. Retrieved 29 April 2026.
- ^ Hond, Maurice de (26 April 2026). "Oordeel over het afwijzen van de asielwetten door Eerste Kamer" [Opinion on the Senate's rejection of the asylum laws] (in Dutch). Retrieved 26 April 2026.
- ^ Hond, Maurice de (19 April 2026). "Verder verlies voor de coalitie (nu nog maar 53 zetels)" [Further losses for the coalition government (now only 53 seats)] (in Dutch). Retrieved 20 April 2026.
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- ^ Hond, Maurice de (29 March 2026). "Zeven grootste partijen steeds dichter bij elkaar" [Seven largest parties getting closer together] (in Dutch). Retrieved 29 March 2026.
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- ^ "Jetten government sworn in". Government of the Netherlands. 2026-02-23. Retrieved 2026-03-08.
- ^ EenVandaag (2026-02-24). "Verlies D66 en CDA zet door in eerste zetelpeiling met nieuw kabinet, VVD blijft wél stabiel" [Losses for D66 and CDA continue in first seat poll with new cabinet, VVD remains steady] (in Dutch). EenVandaag. Retrieved 2026-02-24.
- ^ Hond, Maurice de (21 February 2026). "VVD-kiezers weifelend over nieuwe regering" [VVD voters uncertain about new government] (in Dutch). maurice.nl. Retrieved 21 February 2026.
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- ^ Kanne, Peter; Koppel, Maartje van de; Schelde, Asher van der (18 February 2026). "Politieke peiling februari" [Political poll February] (in nl-NL). Ipsos I&O. Retrieved 18 February 2026.
- ^ Hond, Maurice de (8 February 2026). "VVD-kiezers minder enthousiast over nieuwe regering" [VVD voters less enthusiastic about new government] (in Dutch). maurice.nl
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- ^ Hond, Maurice de (25 January 2026). "Electoraal effect afscheiding PVV-fractie" [Electoral effect of PVV faction split] (in Dutch). maurice.nl
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- ^ Hond, Maurice de (18 January 2026). "PVV zakt verder weg ten gunste van FVD" [PVV continues to decline in favor of FVD] (in Dutch). maurice.nl
- ^ Hond, Maurice de (21 December 2025). "PVV zakt verder weg naar 20 zetels" [PVV drops further to 20 seats] (in Dutch). maurice.nl
- ^ Kanne, Peter; Koppel, Maartje van de; Schelde, Asher van der (17 December 2025). "Politieke peiling Ipsos I&O 15 december 2025" [Political poll Ipsos I&O 15 December 2025] (in Dutch). Ipsos I&O. Retrieved 19 December 2025.
- ^ Hond, Maurice de (30 November 2025). "Minderheidscoalitie D66, CDA en VVD voor groot deel kiezers acceptabel" [Minority coalition D66, CDA and VVD acceptable to a large part of voters] (in Dutch). maurice.nl
- ^ Lubbe, Rozemarijn (25 November 2025). "GroenLinks-PvdA en PVV verliezen in eerste zetelpeiling na verkiezingen, D66 duidelijk de grootste" [GroenLinks-PvdA and PVV lose in first seat poll after elections, D66 clearly the largest] (in Dutch). EenVandaag. Retrieved 25 November 2025.
- ^ Hond, Maurice de (23 November 2025). "Geworstel rondom formatie duurt voort" [Struggles surrounding formation continue] (in Dutch). maurice.nl
- ^ Hond, Maurice de (9 November 2025). "De onontwarbare knoop na de verkiezingen" (in Dutch)
- ^ "Jesse Klaver volgt Frans Timmermans op als leider van GroenLinks-PvdA" [Jesse Klaver succeeds Frans Timmermans as leader of GroenLinks-PvdA] (in Dutch). NU.nl. 3 November 2025. Retrieved 11 November 2025.
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- ^ Koenen, Bart & Zandanel, Flip (29 April 2026). "Rapport Verian zetelpeiling april 2026" [Report Verian seat poll April 2026] (in nl-NL). Verian. Retrieved 29 April 2026.
- ^ Zandanel, Flip & Koenen, Bart (25 February 2026). "Rapport Verian zetelpeiling maart 2026" [Report Verian seat poll March 2026] (in Dutch). Verian. Retrieved 1 April 2026.
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- ^ Ait Moha, Ahmed; Koenen, Bart; Zandanel, Flip (26 November 2025). "Rapport Verian zetelpeiling november 2025" [Report Verian seat poll November 2025] (in Dutch). Verian. Retrieved 19 December 2025.